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16 Mar 2014

[RwandaLibre] How Museveni fell out with ally Mbabazi in the race for 2016

 

Museveni, Mbabazi wrangles have been festering since 2008
The East African 08:09 16-Mar-14

President Yoweri Museveni (left) and his wife Janet (behind him) with
Vice President Edward Ssekandi (right) and Prime Minister Amama
Mbabazi (in glasses) at an NRM caucus in 2013. Photo/FILE

By BARBARA AMONG and DANIEL KALINAKI
Posted Saturday, March 15 2014 at 11:08

Since 1986, power in Uganda has been centralised in the neighbourhoods
of Nakasero, where one of two main presidential complexes is located,
and Kololo, where most of the regime's top brass settled.

Just above the Kololo Independence Grounds is the house in which
Museveni spent the night on January 25, when his troops took power.
When Museveni left for State House, it fell into the hands of Eriya
Kategaya, then the de-facto regime number two.

Gen Elly Tumwine, who fired the first shot of the guerrilla war, lived
less than a kilometre away, off a public road that his bodyguards
blocked from public use for over a decade.

Many of the regime's historical figures have moved on and away. Some,
like Mr Kategaya are dead. Others like General Salim Saleh, Museveni's
brother, have moved on to palatial homes away from the heart of the
city, giving way to diplomats and Kampala's nouveau riche.

Prime Minister Amama Mbabazi is one of the few remaining historicals
in the city's traditional power neighbourhoods, his house only minutes
away from the Independence Grounds, Parliament, and the corridors of
power.

While probably only coincidental, this metaphor is a symbolic reminder
that Mr Mbabazi is one of the last men standing from the original
political group of President Museveni's contemporaries.

Now an attempt is underway to chop off his political feet amidst
allegations that he has been quietly building a financial base and
mobilisation structures to eventually replace President Museveni as
party leader and head of state.

In many countries, ambition among politicians is expected, even
demanded. However, in a country that has had one president for three
decades, and has never seen the peaceful handover of one elected
leader to another in five decades of independence, ambition is a risky
thing to have and dangerous to display openly.

Mr Mbabazi has been accused of "being too busy being prime minister to
be an effective secretary general" as put by one senior party
official, but his real "crime" has been to remain electable and
ambitious where others have long given up or undermined their own
chances.

The anti-Mbabazi camp has three major constituencies: Fellow senior
party officials who see him as a political rival for any situation
vacant; young party officials who, in smelling the Prime Minister's
political blood, have seen an opportunity to advance their own
careers; and the "Musevenists" who have vested personal interests in
the status quo.

Some historicals are openly critical of Mr Mbabazi, including Kahinda
Otafiire and former vice president Gilbert Bukenya whom he defeated in
the secretary general election.

Other historicals quietly accuse Mr Mbabazi of being behind their
woes, be it prosecution on corruption-related charges, or simply being
put out to pasture within the government.

Still many others in the party blame their electoral defeats,
particularly in the hotly contested and controversial party primaries,
on Mr Mbabazi who was in charge of the process.

The "Young Turks" are an interesting but important dynamic. Some like
Evelyn Anite, who moved the controversial proposal to endorse
President Museveni as the sole party candidate, and Youth Minister
Ronald Kibuule, were previously close to Mr Mbabazi and, in some
cases, beneficiaries of his political backing.

Their about-turns are not just a case of political opportunism with an
eye on the next election, says a political watcher in Kampala familiar
with the power play within the government. 1/4 pages [...]

http://www.theeastafrican.co.ke/OpEd/comment/Museveni--Mbabazi-wrangles-have-been-festering-since-2008-/-/434750/2246048/-/ykc02cz/-/index.html

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